I just dont see Romney winning it even though i think the struggling economy will make the election tighter than it should, which will be very flattering to (di)M(w)itt Romney. Obama will lose the white vote in total just like he did in '08 even as a rock star then, but he would scrape through with the overwhelming vote of the ethnic minorities in addition to the under 40 white people votes he will gather.
That's a bit of a stretch. Having 313 electoral votes seems a little too much for Obama. Perhaps 290 would be more accurate. But what difference would that make if the House and Senate are going to be GOP-controlled? He'll most likely win the election, however, giving that Congress would most likely be GOP-controlled and we're dealing with a bunch of aggravating far-right morons who finds compromise and moderate as ugly words, this will be one hell of a second term.
I think this race will be close- 270 to 260 ballpark. Right now I have the Democrats up 10 points. But if you look at the electoral map and see the states that are undecided, there are pretty big Republican VP candidates from those states- Ohio (Portman) and Florida (Rubio). Romney is running ad campaigns in all of the undecided states. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CylDvgsrBxA http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCoIjbgqv7Q Romney even just recently launched a commercial based off interviews with people at the NAACP convention. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HyDsZ-OtaOI&feature=plcp
I disagree. I think Romney will carry Nevada, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania. I think Obama will get Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire, Virginia, and North Carolina. Final Score- Romney (273) and Obama (265)
Looking at the map here, it's highly likely that a re-elected Obama is probable. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map#map But still, why are people ignoring the bigger factor being that there's a good chance the GOP will most likely control Congress?
The Huffington Post is a liberal organization so their electoral map is not the best. If you look at the 384 polls they are tracking I think it gives you a more accurate standing. i think in the end, Romney will win 273-265. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-general-election-romney-vs-obama
Your links aren't any different as they come from biased sources as well. But in the general polls, Obama has a lead in most of the crucial battleground states, and this is based on Quinnipac poll, which is more nonpartisan. The only states he'll most likely have to worry about are Colorado and Florida, though Obama has a lead in Florida...it could very well change in the future.
If you look at my quote it said "look at the polls they are tracking" so I used your own source. But I think Obama has to worry about more than those states. If Romney selects Rob Portman as VP, I think that will give him Ohio and Pennsylvania. Romney will carry Nevada, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania. I think Obama will get Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire, Virginia, and North Carolina. Final Score- Romney (273) and Obama (265)
A vice-presidential pick will have VERY little impact the voters in a certain state, let's be realistic here. Never have been, never will. People are too focused on the two candidates who will be re-elected. Portman's a safe choice mainly for bringing in conservative credentials, but the choice will do little for the race. Also, bear in mind that when polls are tracked, especially by majority sources, if the numbers continues in that consistency a week before the election, then it's finalized. Obama has a significant lead in Pennsylvania and has a slim lead in Florida, as well as in Ohio, so your expectations are too off base. Three months later, it'll most likely be the same unless one of the candidates fumble in the debates.
Me neither. Romney will lose for sure. I live in North Carolina and I see a few Romney bumper stickers. Mittens will really lose big if he make more mistakes.
Rob Portman won his Senate election in Ohio 57% to 39%, so he has enough support to carry that state. And if he hops over to campaign stops in Pennsylvania regularly I think he can carry that as well. The Republican National Convention will feature women leaders (Nikki Haley, Kelly Ayotte) and hispanic leaders (Marco Rubio, Susana Martinez) to help broaden the appeal. I think Obama will have a much tougher time in this election. He has to run on his record the last 4 years and not "hope and dream" speeches. A Romney/Portman ticket brings vast experience with economic issues and will not make the same mistakes as McCain/Palin. Romney is out-fundraising Obama every month. In 2008, Obama was able to pull a disproportionate amount of young people and African Americans to the polls who wanted to see the "first black president" get elected. I don't think he'll see those same numbers in 2012.
- $5 trillion added to our national debt in the last 4 years - 23 million unemployed You're right. Why would we want to change the great path we're on? (insert sarcasm)
Makes more mistakes? I think Obama needs to be worried about making more mistakes like saying business owners didn't build their companies. http://youtu.be/4Lr49t4-2b8
You're highly deluded and this is what I've observed. I understand your love for someone like Romney to win, but you're really overreaching your analytical thought processes. Romney has made more fumbles lately than one would imagine and his favorability rating has been on the decline as well. Likability does factor a good bit into the overall election, and quite frankly he won't stand much of a chance. Portman managed to win Ohio, yes, but that doesn't mean that Ohio would vote for Romney because Portman's on the ticket. Take Wisconsin and Walker for example. Walker survived the recall, but Obama still has a significant lead over Romney in that state, given the registered demographics. Again, you're deluding yourself. The same applies to Pennsylvania. It's still moderately Democratic leaning and there's really no chance of Romney winning that as well, even within the three month margin. Are you that dense and occupied with deluded results and not look at the bigger picture? There's no doubt that the debates will be much more difficult for Obama, but he does have a record to go on, and I dare say records he could very well use. He hasn't sat on his ass the past four years. He's been out there preventing the economy from going into a depression, which is the most feasible. The economy is volatile, and jobs issue are scarce, but the fact remains, he's been pushing his weight around, but had a few roadblocks thanks to the noncompromising wing of the GOP who seemingly takes moderation and practicality as taboo. And it's unfortunate that you're incapable of unfogging those conservative goggles of yours and simply live in La-La Land. What exactly could Romney go on? His record as Governor won't help since he basically lost jobs as governor. So much or executive experience. Foreign policy? Nonexistent and the recent fumblings with the UK and Palestine has shown what sort of person he is. His business record doesn't really say much except he's just somebody who can make himself rich and people within his bracket range. That doesn't translate to a jobs creator or an economic savior. Just another person who understands how to make more money for his friends and himself. But as a politician? He lacks it tremendously.
My arguments are not overreaching. I think they are the most fair and balanced on this thread. I gave a list of 5-6 states that I believe Obama will carry. Some of the other people think it will be a blowout 290-313 point total for Obama which is absolutely ridiculous. And when I use the examples of Rob Portman (Ohio) and Kelly Ayotte (New Hampshire) winning their elections it shows that people in those states are shifting towards conservative ideals. Senate elections give you a pulse on how the state feels. Obama was able to carry those states in 2008 because he inspired hope and his Republican challengers were bumbling idiots. Obama has not been actively trying to fix the economy. He has made no tax reductions, increased spending, and is letting the national debt debate sit until the election is over. The US is at 95% debt-to-income ratio. Countries over 90% experience a 1% decrease in the economy every year. So we will continue to lose 1 million jobs every year as long as he is in office. Romney will largely draw on his time in the private sector. Portman will draw on his time in the Senate and his stint as Director of OMB. His plan in 2007 would have balanced the budget in 5 years. Under his time, we had a small $160 billion deficit each year. Under Obama, it is over $1 trillion deficit each year. That will be a fun debate to have!!
