By Sam Stein HUFFPOST Reporting stein@huffingtonpost.com First Posted: 02/ 7/11 12:11 PM Updated: 02/ 7/11 12:11 PM http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/02/07/poll-obama-beating-palin-tennessee_n_819588.html I think we should really hope the Republicans nominate Palin to run for the presidency in 2012. It may actually benefit us and our cause significantly in a positive manner.
Palin isn't getting the nomination. She could win some of the early primaries in Iowa and South Carolina, but would fall to a more credible candidate. Winning TN would be nice but the states that win you the presidency are the battlegrounds like Ohio, Colorado, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
I think he'll win re-election with over 270 EVs, probably won't be a landslide like 2008 but he'll be re-elected, with over 50% of the American population voting for him. It would either be that or an Independent candidate that hasn't been announced yet wins in 2012.
Agreed. But Palin's real endgame isn't to get elected. a) Just running adds "Former Presidential Candidate" to the resume, so speaking fees go up and b) Candidates get federal funds to run, and what they don't use, they keep (which is why insane long-shots like Pat Buchanan and Alan Keyes ran more than once). Her current narrative demands she run.
Ford Jr. tried stressing his conservative bona-fides to swing independents and GOP loyalists, but even that didn't work.. oh, well... http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/2010/02/harold-ford-jr-and-mario-procaccino.html
Despite what the poll says, I think you would also be correct in saying that Obama still wouldn't win. I think the most logical thing that a good fraction of Tennesseans would do is just not vote on election day since most voters would have a dislike for both candidates (Obama because he's bi-racial), (Palin because of well... many reasons). Within the people that know they would have to vote anyway, they'd vote for Obama, although it's not representative of the state if it was mandated that nearly 100% of the state's population had to vote for either Obama or Palin, an incredibly difficult decision, in their opinion. If that were to be the case, I think it would be a brutally close race with maybe 40 or 50% of the state's residents voting.
If he loses some of the states he flipped in 2008 like FL, OH, NC, he can win by retaining NV, CO, NM, and IN or IA in his win column. No president really cares about their margin of victory, perhaps only their opponents because it may be less painful to lose in a blowout than by a hair.
True, she is thought of as a moron but I cannot think of anyone in recent memory who's done a better job of optimizing her opportunities. Sarah Palin is as much a brand as Coca-Cola or Microsoft. She won't last as long as either, but she is definitely a brand.
Between Ron Paul and Donald Trump both "threatening" to run, the GOP doesn't have much of a chance.Barring an economic collapse, a terrorist incident or a major scandal, Obama will get re-elected in 2012.
